PAGASA

Farm Weather Forecast

Synopsis

TROUGH OF A LOW PRESSURE AREA AFFECTING THE EASTERN SECTION OF THE COUNTRY.

Issued at: 8AM Monday, November 11, 2019

Valid until: 8AM Tuesday, November 12, 2019

FWFA: 19-314

Forecast Area	Agri-Weather	Winds	Temperature	Relative Humidity	Leaf Wetness
CALABARZON, BICOL REGION ,EASTERN VISAYAS,CARAGA, DAVAO, AND AURORA	CLOUDY SKIES WITH SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS	STRONG FROM NORTHEAST – AURORA; MODERATE TO STRONG FROM NORTHEAST TO NORTHWEST – EASTERN SECTION OF CALABARZON AND BICOL REGION; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHWEST -EASTERN VISAYAS , CARAGA, AND DAVAO REGION	LOWLAND: 24 – 31 UPLAND: 20 - 28	68 – 100	4 - 8
METRO MANILA AND THE REST OF THE COUNTRY	PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH ISOLATED RAINSHOWERS	STRONG FROM NORTHEAST – NORTHERN AND REST OF CENTRAL LUZON; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST – REST OF LUZON; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHWEST – REST OF VISAYAS AND MINDANAO	22 – 33 15 – 23	55 – 97	0 – 4
VISAYAS, BICOL REGION, NORTHERN MINDANAO, ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA, CARAGA AND THE PROVINCE OF QUEZON, MARINDUQUE, AND ROMBLON	CLOUDY SKIES WITH SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS	MODERATO TO STRONG FROM NORTHEAST TO NORTHWEST – BICOL REGION, PROVINCE OF QUEZON AND EASTERN VISAYAS; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHEAST – MARINDUQUE AND ROMBLON; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHEAST TO NORTHWEST – REST OF VISAYAS, NORTHERN MINDANAO, ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA AND CARAGA	LOWLAND 24 - 32 UPLAND 20 - 29	68 - 100 %	4 - 8 HRS
ILOCOS REGION, CORDILLERA ADMINISTRATIVE REGION, CAGAYAN VALLEY AND CENTRAL LUZON	CLOUDY SKIES WITH LIGHT RAINS	STRONG FROM NORTHEAST	LOWLAND 22 - 31 UPLAND 15 - 27	65 - 98 %	4 - 8 HRS
METRO MANILA AND THE REST OF THE COUNTRY	PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH ISOLATED RAINSHOWERS	LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHEAST – METRO MANILA AND REST OF LUZON; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHEAST TO NORTHWEST – REST OF MINDANAO	LOWLAND 23 - 33 UPLAND 19 - 27	65 - 98 %	0 – 4 HRS

Soil Moisture Condition

Wet

CALAYAN, AURORA, ALABAT, CAMARINES NORTE, SORSOGON, CATANDUANES, AKLAN, CAPIZ, BUKIDNON

Moist

REST OF CAGAYAN VALLEY, CAR, ZAMBALES, PAMPANGA, TARLAC, NCR, PALAWAN, ALBAY, ANTIQUE, CATARMAN, CATBALOGAN, DIPOLOG, DAVAO CITY, TAGUMBUTUAN, LANAO DEL SUR

Dry

REST OF THE COUNTRY

Farming Advisories

FOR WET (IRRIGATED) AND MOIST AREAS: LAND AND SEEDBED PREPARATION, PLANTING AND TRANSPLANTING, REMOVAL OF WEEDS AND CULTIVATION, HARVESTING OF MATURED CROPS, USE COVERED VANS IN DELIVERY OF GOODS IN THE MARKET; CLEAN CREEKS, CANALS AND DITCHES FROM IMPEDIMENTS TO PROVIDE NATURAL FLOW OF WATER SPECIALLY DURING THUNDERSTORMS TO AVOID POSSIBLE FLOODING , PLANTING OF FRUIT TREES TO REPLACE THE OLD ONES.
FOR (RAINFED) DRY AREAS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS: SUN DRYING OF NEWLY HARVESTED RICE AND CORN; WATERING ACTIVITIES OR IRRIGATION USING PUMP; FUNGAL DEVELOPMENT CAN CAUSE DAMAGE TO STORED FARM PRODUCTS, THUS, IT IS ADVISED TO KEEP BARNS AND CROP STORAGE ROOMS TO BE CLEAN,DRY, WELL VENTILATED AND IN SAFE CONDITION; DELIVERY OF GOODS IN COVERED VANS CAN BE DONE. BE VIGILANT AND ALWAYS INSPECT YOUR RICE FIELDS FOR OCCURRENCE OF PESTS AND DISEASES, ASK FOR PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES OR CONSULT THE EXPERTISE OF YOUR LOCAL AGRICULTURIST.

Fishing Advisories

TO STRONG THE COASTAL WATERS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LUZON, WILL BE ROUGH. WHEREAS, THE EASTERN SECTION OF SOUTHERN LUZON WILL HAVE MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OVER THESE AREAS. ELSEWHERE, WILL HAVE MODERATE SEAS. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED TO TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES. REMINDERS TO OUR FISHERFOLKS TO BE ALWAYS CAREFUL SPECIALLY THOSE USING SMALL SEACRAFTS, BRING EMERGENCY KIT, AND BE UPDATED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER UPDATE AND FARM ADVISORIES.

Red Tide Alert

(Courtesy of BFAR, Shellfish Bulletin No. 20, Issued on 31 October 2019)

ALL TYPES OF SHELLFISH AND ACETES SP. OR ALAMANG GATHERED AT PUERTO PRINCESA BAY, PUERTO PRINCESA CITY IN PALAWAN; THE COASTAL WATERS OF DAUIS AND TAGBILARAN CITY IN BOHOL; SAN PEDRO BAY, IRONG-IRONG BAY AND SILANGA BAY IN WESTERN SAMAR; AND BATAAN (MARIVELES, LIMAY, ORION, PILAR, BALANGA, HERMOSA, ORANI, ABUCAY, SAMAL) ARE STILL POSITVE FOR PARALYTIC SHELLFISH POISON. MOREOVER, COASTAL WATERS OF PAMPANGA AND COASTAL WATERS OF SUAL IN PANGASINAN ARE NOW POSITIVE OF RED TIDE TOXIN AND NOT SAFE FOR HUMAN CONSUMPTION. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO GATHER OVER THESE AREAS. FISH, SQUIDS, SHRIMPS, AND CRABS ARE SAFE FOR HUMAN CONSUMPTION PROVIDED THAT THEY ARE FRESH AND WASHED THOROUGHLY, AND INTERNAL ORGANS SUCH AS GILLS AND INTESTINES ARE REMOVED BEFORE COOKING.

PREPARED BY: SCF/MTR VERIFIED BY: FEV

10 - Day Regional Agri-Weather Information

DEKAD NO. 31 NOVEMBER 1-10, 2019

Philippine Agri-Weather Forecast

PHILIPPINE AGRI-WEATHER FORECAST

The weather systems that will likely to affect the whole country are the northeast monsoon, easterlies, tropical cyclone and low pressure area (LPA).

During the early days of the dekad, the Low Pressure Area will bring cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms over Davao Region, BARMM, Zamboanga Peninsula, and Northern Mindanao Bicol Region and Visayas while the rest of the country will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms. Afterwards, another weather disturbance might develop over west of Palawan which will bring cloudiness with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, Palawan, Mindoro, Zambales and Bataan while better weather condition will prevail over the rest of the country. During the last part of the dekad, cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms due to another LPA will be experienced over Mindanao while cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorm due to easterlies may affect the Bicol Region, Eastern Visayas and Quezon. The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms.

Winds coming from northeast will prevail over extreme Northern Luzon throughout the forecast period. During the first half of the dekad, winds coming from the east to northeast will prevail over Luzon while winds coming from west to southwest will prevail over Palawan and Visayas. Mindanao will have winds from south to southwest. During the second half of the dekad, winds coming from east to northeast will prevail over Luzon and Visayas, while winds coming from northeast to north will prevail over Mindanao.
During the first half of the dekad, moderate to rough seas will prevail over extreme northern Luzon while the rest of the archipelago will experience slight to moderate seas. Moreover, moderate to rough seas will be experienced over Northern Luzon and western section of the country while the rest of the country will have slight to moderate seas. During the last part of the dekad, moderate to rough seas are expected in northern Luzon while slight to moderate seas are expected over the rest of the country.

ENSO-neutral condition is present in the tropical Pacific.

Farm Advisories

Harvesting the rice on time is very important to maximize yields and grain quality. Too early for harvest will have many unfilled and immature grains. Grain moisture is between 20-22% which is normal after flowering. Minimize the time the cut panicles at the field remain in large bundles; thresh within 24 hours of cutting.

Tarpaulins or clean drying pads can be used for sun drying. Turning or stirring the grains at least once every hour when sun drying to achieve uniform drying. Clean the grain by repeated winnowing after drying and store the rice in a cool, dry, and clean area preferably in sealed containers for seed.

Regional Agrometeorological Situation and Prognosis

Region 1 Ilocos Region Region 2 Cagayan Valley CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region) Region 3 Central Luzon NCR (National Capital Region) Region 4A CALABARZON Region 4B MIMAROPA Region 5 Bicol Region Region 6 Western Visayas Region 7 Central Visayas Region 8 Eastern Visayas Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula Region 10 Northern Mindanao Region 11 Davao Regio Region 12 SOCCSK-SARGEN Region 13 CARAGA ARMM (Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao)

Region 1 Ilocos Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

10 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

6 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

72 – 97

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 31

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of citrus, tomatoes, ginger, squash, eggplant, calamansi, ampalaya, radish, patola, upo potatoes, rice and corn is in progress. Drying activities of newly harvested rice and corn are on-going. Planting of cowpea, mungo, celery, pechay, upo garlic, beets and onion is on-going.

Region 2 Cagayan Valley

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – rest of the region; Wet – Calayan

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 95

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland areas: 20 – 29; Rest: 24 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Sun drying of newly harvested rice and corn is on-going. Some late planted rice are still in maturing and harvesting stages. Planting of watermelon, cauliflower, cadios, melon, sweet potato, gabi, ginger and corn is being done. Harvesting of tomatoes, eggplant, cassava, radish, potatoes, ginger, ampalaya, sweet potatoes, pechay, spinach, cabbage and rice is on-going.

CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

6 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

75 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

16 – 29

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Some upland rice are still in flowering and maturing stages. Planting of upland vegetables such as white potato, cauliflower, celery, sweet peas, beets and cucumber is on-going. Harvesting of some rice, broccoli, wombok, potatoes, chayote, onions, pechay, celery, carrots, lettuce, tomatoes and wombok cabbage is also on-going.

Region 3 Central Luzon

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry – rest of the region; Moist – Zambales, Pampanga, Tarlac; Wet – Aurora

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

24 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice is almost finished while harvesting of calamansi, tomatoes, onions, eggplant, squash, cucumber, carrots, ampalaya, potatoes and cabbage is still on-going. Drying, milling and cleaning of rice are in progress. Planting of cowpea, mungo, celery, pechay, upo garlic, onion and spinach is on-going.

NCR (National Capital Region)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

50 – 125

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

68 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of backyard vegetables such as okra, malunggay, eggplant, mustard, upo, lettuce, alugbati, cabbage and pechay,is on-going.
Preparation and watering of garden plots and planting of leafy vegetable seedlings are being done.

Region 4A CALABARZON

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

50 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry – rest of the region; Wet – Alabat

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 96

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland areas: 20 – 30; Rest: 24 – 32

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Late planted rice is still in harvesting stage while some rice field are in Iand preparation. Planting of sweet potato, cassava, melon, cauliflower, cucumber, ampalaya, soybeans, string beans, lettuce, mustard, okra, pechay, cabbage and watermelon is still on-going. Harvesting of cucumber, tomatoes, jackfruit, banana, lanzones, papaya and pineapple is still in progress.

Region 4B MIMAROPA

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

50 – 200

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Palawan; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

75 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 31

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of sweet potatoes, rice, corn, cashew, cassava, upo, banana, papaya and pineapple is still in progress. Planting of rice, watermelon, melon, chayote, eggplant, squash, cucumber, mustard, okra, sincamas and ginger is on-going. Some irrigated rice and corn are still in maturing and harvesting stages. Land preparation for second cropping has started.

Region 5 Bicol Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

50 – 175

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Camarines Norte, Sorsogon, Catanduanes; Moist – Albay; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

75 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

25 – 32

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Late planted rice is still in harvesting stage while some rice field are in Iand preparation. Harvesting of rice, corn, cassava, squash, sweet potatoes, upo, ampalaya, okra, gabi, papaya and carrots is also on-going. Planting of ginger, sincamas, eggplant, tomato, beans, radish, patola, pechay, cabbage, cucumber, spinach and lettuce is still on-going.

Region 6 Western Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry – Negros Occidental, Iloilo; Wet – Aklan, Capiz; Moist – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 95

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

24 – 32

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of corn, rice, sugarcane, guyabano, eggplant, tomatoes, chayote, papaya, carrots, potatoes, cabbage, pechay, lettuce, mustard, squash, sweet potatoes and cassava is being done. Some rice are in maturing and harvesting stages. Milling of sugarcane, drying of newly harvested rice and corn are in progress. Planting of cucumber, mustard, watermelon, melon, ginger, chayote, eggplant, squash, pechay, celery, okra and garlic is on-going.

Region 7 Central Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

10 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

3 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

68 – 95

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of corn, mangoes, papaya, banana, guyabano, potatoes, tomatoes, onions, sweet pepper, cabbage, carrots and pechay is on-going. Planting of mustard, pechay, eggplant, okra, squash, patola, upo, and cassava is on-going. Some rice field are in land preparation stage and some are still in harvesting stage.

Region 8 Eastern Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 200

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist –Catbalogan; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

75 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Lowland rice is in ripening and harvesting stages. Drying and milling of newly harvested rice are in progress. Planting of melon, muskmelon, ampalaya, cucumber, upo, garlic, onion, squash, sweet potato, sweet pepper, white potato and talinum is on-going. Harvesting of rice, corn, cassava, carrots, radish, papaya, squash, cabbage and other leafy vegetables is on-going.

Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 125

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry – rest of the region; Moist – Dipolog;

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Some Irrigated rice and corn are still in maturing and harvesting stages. Harvesting of banana, papaya, guyabano, radish, squash, carrots, pechay, lettuce, okra and corn is being done. Planting of garlic, onion, sweet pepper, patola, soybean, ampalaya, cabbage, okra, eggplant, squash, lettuce, string beans and mungo is still on-going

Region 10 Northern Mindanao

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 125

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

6 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Bukidnon; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Bukidnon and upland areas: 18 – 28; Rest: 23 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Some irrigated rice are still in ripening and harvesting stages. Some rice field are in land preparation. Planting of celery, cauliflower, cabbage, mustard, potatoes, ginger, onions, ubi and beets is in progress. Harvesting of lettuce, upo, pineapple, banana, durian, marang, guyabano, cucumber, eggplant, onions, tomato, cassava, sweet pepper, carrots, sweet potato, potatoes, ginger, corn and rice is still on-going.

Region 11 Davao Regio

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Davao City, Tagum; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, corn, marang, durian, pineapple, guyabano, rambutan, banana, papaya, carrots, cabbage, okra, pechay, chayote, sweet potatoes, cassava, ginger, mangosteen and eggplant is still on-going. Planting of chayote, garlic, onion, sweet pepper, carrot, mustard, okra, cauliflower and cabbage is in progress.

Region 12 SOCCSK-SARGEN

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

65 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Some rice field are in land preparation. Late planted rice and corn are in maturing and harvesting stages. Harvesting of corn, rice, mangosteen, guyabano, banana, pomelo, sweet potatoes, ubi, cassava, marang and durian is still on-going.

Region 13 CARAGA

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry – rest of the region; Moist – Butuan

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

65 – 95

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Some rice and corn are in maturing and harvesting stages. Planting of cabbage, sweet potato, cassava, ginger, gabi, eggplant, okra, squash, tomato, pechay, soybean and upo is being done. Harvesting of rice, corn, pomelo, papaya, banana, pineapple, dragon fruit, mustard, eggplant, tomatoes and pechay is on-going.

ARMM (Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Lanao del Sur, Cotabato City; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

68 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 32

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Irrigated rice and corn are still in maturing and harvesting stages. Planting of leafy vegetables such as cassava, sweet potatoes, pechay, sweet pepper, ubi, gabi and ginger is in progress. Harvesting of banana, pineapple, durian, pomelo, papaya, rambutan, marang, cassava, ubi, mangosteen, leafy vegetables, rice, and corn is still in progress.

Prepared By:

MA. FE. E. VILLAMORA
OIC, FWSS

EDNA L. JUANILLO
Chief
Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD)