PAGASA

Farm Weather Forecast

Synopsis

NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDFLOW PREVAILING OVER LUZON

Issued at: 8AM Tuesday, October 15, 2019

Valid until: 8AM Wednesday, October 16, 2019

FWFA: 19-287

Forecast Area	Agri-Weather	Winds	Temperature	Relative Humidity	Leaf Wetness
WESTERN VISAYAS, DAVAO AND CARAGA	CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS	LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHEAST – WESTERN VISAYAS; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHEAST TO EAST – DAVAO AND CARAGA	LOWLAND 24-33 UPLAND 19-30	60 – 98%	4 -8 HOURS
METRO MANILA AND THE REST OF THE COUNTRY	PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH ISOLATED RAINSHOWERS	MODERATE TO STRONG FROM NORTHEAST – NORTHERN LUZON; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHEAST – REST OF VISAYAS AND OF LUZON; LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM NORTHEAST TO EAST –REST OF MINDANAO	LOWLAND 22-32 UPLAND 14-29	48-96%	0 – 4 HOURS

Soil Moisture Condition

Wet

REGIONS 1, 2, AND 3, CAR,NCR, , CAMARINES NORTE, CORON

Moist

PORT AREA, CAVITE, RIZAL, ALABAT, REST OF REGION 5, SAMAR, PUERTO PRINSESA, CUYO, BUKIDNON, DAVAO

Dry

REST OF THE COUNTRY

Farming Advisories

FOR WET (IRRIGATED) AND MOIST AREAS: LAND AND SEEDBED PREPARATION, PLANTING AND TRANSPLANTING, REMOVAL OF WEEDS AND CULTIVATION, HARVESTING OF MATURED CROPS, USE COVERED VANS IN DELIVERY OF GOODS IN THE MARKET; CLEAN CREEKS, CANALS AND DITCHES FROM IMPEDIMENTS TO PROVIDE NATURAL FLOW OF WATER SPECIALLY DURING THUNDERSTORMS TO AVOID POSSIBLE FLOODING .
FOR (RAINFED) DRY AREAS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS: SUN DRYING OF NEWLY HARVESTED RICE AND CORN; WATERING ACTIVITIES OR IRRIGATION USING PUMP; FUNGAL DEVELOPMENT CAN CAUSE DAMAGE TO STORED FARM PRODUCTS, THUS, IT IS ADVISED TO KEEP BARNS AND CROP STORAGE ROOMS TO BE CLEAN,DRY, WELL VENTILATED AND IN SAFE CONDITION; DELIVERY OF GOODS IN COVERED VANS CAN BE DONE. BE VIGILANT AND ALWAYS INSPECT YOUR RICE FIELDS FOR OCCURRENCE OF PESTS AND DISEASES, ASK FOR PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES OR CONSULT THE EXPERTISE OF YOUR LOCAL AGRICULTURIST.

Fishing Advisories

THE COASTAL WATERS OVER NORTHERN LUZON WILL BE MODERATE TO ROUGH. VISAYAS AND THE REST OF LUZON WILL HAVE MODERATE SEAS. WHEREAS, IN MINDANAO, IT WILL HAVE SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED TO TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES. REMINDERS TO OUR FISHERFOLKS TO BE ALWAYS CAREFUL SPECIALLY THOSE USING SMALL SEACRAFTS, BRING EMERGENCY KIT, AND BE UPDATED FOR THE LATEST WEATHER UPDATE AND FARM ADVISORIES.

Red Tide Alert

(Courtesy of BFAR, Shellfish Bulletin No. 17, Issued on 26 September 2019)

ALL TYPES OF SHELLFISH AND ACETES SP. OR ALAMANG GATHERED AT PUERTO PRINCESA BAY, PUERTO PRINCESA CITY IN PALAWAN; THE COASTAL WATERS OF DAUIS AND TAGBILARAN CITY IN BOHOL; SAN PEDRO BAY, IRONG-IRONG BAY AND SILANGA BAY IN WESTERN SAMAR; CANCABATO BAY, TACLOBAN CITY IN LEYTE ARE STILL POSITVE FOR PARALYTIC SHELLFISH POISON AND NOT SAFE FOR HUMAN CONSUMPTION. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO GATHER OVER THESE AREAS. FISH, SQUIDS, SHRIMPS, AND CRABS ARE SAFE FOR HUMAN CONSUMPTION PROVIDED THAT THEY ARE FRESH AND WASHED THOROUGHLY, AND INTERNAL ORGANS SUCH AS GILLS AND INTESTINES ARE REMOVED BEFORE COOKING.

PREPARED BY: SCF/JOT VERIFIED BY: FEV

10 - Day Regional Agri-Weather Information

DEKAD NO. 29 OCTOBER 11-20, 2019

Philippine Agri-Weather Forecast

The weather systems that will likely affect the whole country are the trough of tropical cyclone “Hagibis” outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), low pressure area (LPA), northeasterly windflow, easterlies and intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ).

During the start of the dekad, the regions of CARAGA, Davao and Northern Mindanao will have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while the rest of the archipelago will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with chances of isolated rainshowers. After this, Cagayan Valley, Bicol Region and the provinces of Aurora and Quezon will have cloudiness with rainshowers and thunderstorms throughout the rest of the dekad. The rest of the country will have better weather condition with possible occurrences of isolated rainshowers mostly in the afternoon or evening.

During the early days of the dekad, northeasterly wind flow will prevail over Northern Luzon while Visayas and the rest of Luzon will have winds from the northeast to northwest. Mindanao will experience winds coming from the northwest to west. As Northern Luzon continues to have winds blowing from the northeast, the rest of the country will have winds from the northeast to east throughout the rest of the dekad.

During the early days of the forecast period, the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon will have moderate to rough seas while the rest of the archipelago will experience slight to moderate coastal waters. However, the northern and central Luzon will start to experience moderate to rough seas during the latter part of the first half of the dekad. The remaining areas of the country will have slight to moderate movement of seas. This condition will continue throughout the end of the dekad.

ENSO-neutral condition is present in the tropical Pacific.

Farm Advisories

Harvesting the rice crop on time is very important to maximize yields and grain quality. Crops harvested too early will have many unfilled and immature grains. Immature grains break easily when milled and will not germinate when used for seed. If crops are harvested late, heavy losses will occur through shattering and bird attacks. Quality will also decrease due to grain weathering, resulting in breakage and downgrading because of undesirable grain color.

Crops should be harvested when:
• Grain moisture is between 20–22% which normally about 30 days after flowering;
• 80–85% of the grains are straw-colored;
• Grains in the lower part of the panicle are hard, not soft; and
• Grains are firm but not easily broken when squeezed between the teeth.

Regional Agrometeorological Situation and Prognosis

Region 1 Ilocos Region Region 2 Cagayan Valley CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region) Region 3 Central Luzon NCR (National Capital Region) Region 4A CALABARZON Region 4B MIMAROPA Region 5 Bicol Region Region 6 Western Visayas Region 7 Central Visayas Region 8 Eastern Visayas Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula Region 10 Northern Mindanao Region 11 Davao Regio Region 12 SOCCSK-SARGEN Region 13 CARAGA ARMM (Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao)

Region 1 Ilocos Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 50

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

1 – 6

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Pangasinan; Wet – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

68 – 96

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

19 – 32

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice and corn is almost finished. Harvesting of ginger, squash, eggplant, calamansi, tomatoes, ampalaya, potatoes, radish, patola and upo is in progress. Drying activities of newly harvested rice and corn are on-going. Storing and delivery of produce in the market are being done. Planting of leafy and fruit vegetables such as lettuce mustard, pechay, cabbage, spinach, ampalaya, cucumber, melon muskmelon, okra and patola is also on-going.

Region 2 Cagayan Valley

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry – Nueva Vizcaya; Wet – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

65 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland areas: 18 – 28; Rest: 21 – 32

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of corn, rice, tomatoes, eggplant, cassava, radish, potatoes, ginger, ampalaya, sweet potatoes, pechay, spinach and cabbage is on-going. Sun drying of rice and corn is also on-going. Planting of corn, cadios, melon, watermelon, cauliflower, sweet potato, gabi and ginger is being done.

CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

75 – 200

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

73 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

12 – 26

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of some rice, potatoes, sweet peas, chayote, onions, pechay, celery, carrots, lettuce, tomatoes and cabbage is on-going. Some upland rice are still in vegetative, flowering and maturing stages. Planting of cauliflower, celery, cucumber, ampalaya, melon, muskmelon, white potato, sweet peas, talinum and condol is also on-going.

Region 3 Central Luzon

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

Aurora: 3 – 8; Rest: 1 – 5

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Zambales, Wet – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

20 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice is almost finished while harvesting of onions, eggplant, calamansi, tomatoes, cucumber, carrots, ampalaya, potatoes, squash and cabbage is still on-going. Planting of dry season corn, bountiful beans, patani, soybeans, lettuce, melon, ampalaya, mustard, pechay, eggplant and cauliflower is being done.

NCR (National Capital Region)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

1 – 5

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Port Area; Wet – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 88

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of backyard vegetables such as mustard, pechay, okra, malunggay, eggplant, upo, alugbati, cabbage and lettuce is on-going. Planting of ginger, spinach, cabbage, lettuce, pechay, okra, eggplant, tomato and mustard is also on-going.

Region 4A CALABARZON

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

Quezon: 25 – 150; Rest: 0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry – Infanta; Moist – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

68 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

21 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, string beans, ampalaya, eggplant, upo, cabbage, lettuce, potatoes, cucumber, tomatoes, lanzones, papaya, pineapple, banana and jackfruit is in progress. Planting of melon, watermelon, cauliflower, sweet potato, cucumber, ampalaya, soybeans, string beans, lettuce, mustard, pechay, cabbage and okra is still on-going.

Region 4B MIMAROPA

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 50

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Coron; Moist – Cuyo; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, corn, cashew, upo, pineapple, banana, papaya, sweet potatoes and cassava is still in progress. Some irrigated rice and corn are in maturing and harvesting stages. Planting of chayote, eggplant, pechay cucumber, squash, mustard, celery, melon, watermelon, okra, sincamas, garlic and sweet potato is on-going.

Region 5 Bicol Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes: 25 – 150; Rest: 0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

3 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Camarines Norte, Catanduanes; Moist – Albay, Sorsogon; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, corn, cassava, squash, sweet potatoes, upo, tomatoes, ubi, ampalaya, okra, gabi, pechay, papaya, carrots and leafy vegetables is on-going. Planting of tapilan, sweet potato, ginger, eggplant, tomato, squash, beans, radish, cassava, patola, ampalaya, lettuce and sincamas is also on-going.

Region 6 Western Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 6

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry – Negros Occidental, Iloilo; Wet – Aklan, Capiz; Moist – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 95

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of corn, rice, sugarcane, guyabano, eggplant, tomatoes, chayote, papaya, carrots, potatoes, cabbage, pechay, lettuce, mustard, squash, sweet potatoes and cassava is being done. Most rice are in maturing stage. Milling of sugarcane is underway. Mechanical and sun drying for rice and corn are in progress.

Region 7 Central Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

3 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 95

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, corn, mangoes, papaya, banana, guyabano, potatoes, tomatoes, onions, sweet pepper, cabbage, carrots and pechay is on-going. Planting of okra, patola, squash, tomato, upo, mustard, pechay, cabbage and eggplant is also on-going. Watering activities are in progress.

Region 8 Eastern Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

Eastern and Northern Samar: 25 – 150; Rest: 0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Catarman; Catbalogan, Visca; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

68 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, corn, cassava banana, carrots, radish, rambutan, guyabano, papaya, squash, cabbage and other leafy vegetables is on-going. Irrigated rice is in ripening and harvesting stages. Drying and milling of newly harvested rice are in progress. Planting of ampalaya, cucumber, upo, garlic, onion, sweet pepper, white potato and beets is also on-going.

Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

3 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of corn, papaya, guyabano, radish, squash, banana, carrots, lettuce, pechay and okra is being done. Irrigated rice and corn are still in maturing and harvesting stages. Planting of patola, soybean, cabbage, okra, eggplant, string beans, tomato, squash, lettuce and ampalaya, is on-going. Watering activities are also on-going.

Region 10 Northern Mindanao

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

3 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Bukidnon; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

65 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Bukidnon and upland areas: 17 – 29; Rest: 21 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, corn, pineapple, banana, durian, guyabano, marang, lettuce, upo, cucumber, pechay cabbage, carrots, eggplant, tomato, cassava, sweet pepper, sweet potato, potatoes, onions and ginger is on-going. Irrigated rice is in ripening and harvesting stages. Planting of cabbage, mustard, ginger, onions, beets, ubi, potatoes and okra is in progress.

Region 11 Davao Regio

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

50 – 175

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Davao City; Moist – Bago Oshiro; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

65 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

20 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, corn, marang, durian, pineapple, guyabano, rambutan, banana, papaya, carrots, cabbage, okra, pechay, chayote, sweet potatoes, cassava, ginger, mangosteen and eggplant is still on-going. Some rice are in different stages. Planting of chayote, garlic, onion, sweet pepper, carrot, cabbage, mustard, cauliflower and dry season peanuts is in progress.

Region 12 SOCCSK-SARGEN

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

75 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

21 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of corn, rice, mangosteen, guyabano, banana, pomelo, sweet potatoes, ubi, cassava, marang and durian is still on-going. Rice are in maturing and harvesting stages. Planting of lettuce, okra, patola, squash, tomato, upo, mungo, cadios, mustard, pechay, celery, cabbage, cucumber, melon and watermelon is in progress.

Region 13 CARAGA

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of rice, corn, dragon fruit, pomelo, papaya, banana, pineapple, cassava, sweet potatoes, mustard, eggplant, cabbage, tomatoes and pechay is on-going. Some irrigated rice and corn are in maturing and harvesting stages. Planting of okra, squash, sweet potato, cassava, ginger, gabi, eggplant, soybean, pechay and tomato is being done. Watering activities is also on-going.

ARMM (Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

1 – 6

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Lanao del Sur; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland areas: 18 – 29; Rest 22 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Harvesting of durian, pomelo, papaya, rambutan, marang, cassava, ubi, banana, pineapple, mangosteen, leafy vegetables, rice, and corn is still in progress. Irrigated rice and corn are in maturing and harvesting stages. Planting of leafy vegetables such as pechay, cabbage, mustard, celery, ubi, cassava, sweet potatoes, gabi, ginger, kutchai and sweet pepper is in progress. Watering activities are being done.

Prepared By:

MA. FE. E. VILLAMORA
OIC, FWSS

EDNA L. JUANILLO
Chief
Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD)