El Niño / La Niña
Monitoring
PAGASA ENSO Alert System Status

PAGASA: Despite the recent cooling of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) at the tropical Pacific, SSTs are still at El Niño levels. Atmospheric indicators such as cloudiness, tradewinds and Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) do not show response to ocean temperatures for El Niño to become fully established. PAGASA’s ENSO Alert System status remains at El Niño Watch with an 80% chance to progress at weak El Niño during January - February 2019.