PAGASA

Farm Weather Forecast

Synopsis

At 3:00 AM today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated based on all available data at 90 km East Southeast of Romblon, Romblon (12.2°N, 123.0°E) embedded in the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao

Issued at: 8AM Friday, September 17, 2021

Valid until: 8AM Saturday, September 18, 2021

FWFA: 21 – 260

Forecast Area

Agri-Weather

Winds

Temperature

Relative Humidity

Leaf Wetness

Metro Manila, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, SOCCSKSARGEN, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, Ifugao, La Union, Pangasinan, and Camarines Norte

Cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms

Light to moderate from east to northeast – Metro Manila, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, Ifugao, La Union, Pangasinan, and Camarines Norte

Light to moderate from northwest to southwest – Western Visayas

Light to moderate from southeast to southwest – Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, SOCCSKSARGEN

LOWLAND
24 – 31

UPLAND
13 – 29

65 – 100

0 – 6

the rest of the country

Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms

Light to moderate from east to northeast – rest of Luzon
Light to moderate from northwest to southwest – rest of Visayas

Light to moderate from southeast to southwest – rest of Mindanao

LOWLAND
24 – 34

UPLAND
16 – 30

50 – 98

0 – 4

Soil Moisture Condition

Wet

Most areas of the country

Moist

Parts of Tuguegarao, Puerto Princesa, Casiguran, Bohol, Cebu, Misamis Oriental, Davao

Dry

Zamboanga del Sur, General Santos

Farming Advisories

IN AREAS AFFECTED BY ITCZ, AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS
Be alert and extra careful to those living in low lying areas and near mountain slopes due to possible flooding and landslides; During the rainy season, farmers are advised/ reminded to do cover cropping, land terracing and waterway declogging activities. This is to prevent soil erosion and provide humus, regulate water, reduce weed, increase biodiversity and improve farming as a whole. Continuous wet weather promotes fungal development and can cause damage to stored farm products, reduce the quality, viability and market price of the grains. Thus, it is advised to keep barns and crop storage rooms to be in good, dry and well -ventilated condition. Clean creeks, canals and ditches; store harvested crops in elevated, well ventilated and covered places. Water impounding is advisable during heavy rains for future use.
FOR WET (IRRIGATED) AND MOIST AREAS
Livestock/domesticated animals are susceptible to contract diseases during the rainy period, always keep animal shelters and its surroundings clean, dry and well ventilated. A clean environment can minimize the possibility of covid-19 infection. Land and seedbed preparation; planting and transplanting; removal of weeds and cultivation, harvesting of matured crops, use covered vans in delivery of goods in the market; planting of fruit trees to replace the old ones.

FOR DRY (RAINFED) AREAS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS
Watering crops during early morning and evening periods will help alleviate stress on crops. Sun drying of newly harvested rice and corn; watering activities or irrigation using pump in dry and rainfed areas. Spraying insecticides or fertilizer application in farm areas with light winds when needed.

Fishing Advisories

Slight to moderate seas will be experienced over the whole archipelago. Be reminded to be very careful in going out fishing specially those using small sea craft. Always bring emergency kit. Be updated for the latest weather update and farm advisories.

Red Tide Alert

Courtesy of BFAR, Shellfish Bulletin No. 26, Issued on 10 September 2021

All types of shellfish and Acetes sp. or alamang gathered at coastal waters of Milagros in Masbate; coastal waters of Dauis and Tagbilaran City in Bohol; Carigara Bay in Leyte; Dumanquillas Bay in Zamboanga del Sur; Murcielagos Bay in Zamboanga del Norte; and Lianga Bay in Surigao del Sur are positive for paralytic shellfish poison and not safe for human consumption. Fishermen are advised not to gather, not to sell, not to buy, and not to eat all types of shellfish and Acetes sp. or alamang over these areas. Fish, squids, shrimps, and crabs are safe for human consumption provided that they are fresh and washed thoroughly, and internal organs such as gills and intestines are removed before cooking.

**MTR / DPO / JOT Verified by: JAM**

10 - Day Regional Agri-Weather Information

DEKAD NO. 26 11 – 20 September 2021

Philippine Agri-Weather Forecast

The weather systems that will likely affect the whole country are the southwest monsoon, ridge of high pressure area, Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), low pressure areas (LPAs), easterlies, tropical cyclone (TC), and localized thunderstorms.

As TC Kiko exits PAR, gradual improvement of weather condition over Cagayan Valley will be experienced while extreme northern Luzon, Ilocos Region, Abra, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan, Palawan, Zamboanga Peninsula, and Bangsamoro will continue to experience cloudiness with scattered rains and thunderstorms brought by southwest monsoon. Cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms will prevail over Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao while partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms will be experienced over the rest of the country. During the last days of the forecast period, possible development of LPA will bring cloudiness over Caraga, Davao Region, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, and central and eastern Visayas. The LPA will likely move and landfall towards Southern-Central Luzon Area on the next coming days.

Winds coming from southwest to south will blow over the western section of the country while southeasterly to southerly winds will prevail over the eastern section of the country. Easterly to southeasterly winds will then blow over northern Luzon while the rest of the country will have easterly to northeasterly winds. During the second half of the dekad, northeasterly winds will prevail over Luzon and Visayas while northwesterly winds will blow over Palawan, Zamboanga Peninsula and Bangsamoro. The rest of Mindanao will have winds coming from southwest.

Rough to very rough seas will be experienced over extreme northern Luzon and the western section of Luzon. Moderate to rough seas will then prevail over the western section of Luzon while slight to moderate seas will be experienced over the rest of the archipelago. Slight to moderate seas will prevail over the whole archipelago throughout the forecast period.

ENSO-neutral conditions are present in the Tropical Pacific and favored through July-August-September season. Whereas, La Niña is likely to emerge during October-November-December 2021 season and is not predicted to persist long enough to constitute a La Niña event

Farm Advisories

Please observe the Memorandum Order on Stringent Social Distancing Measures and Further Guidelines for the Management of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

The Department of Agriculture (DA) Philippine Rice Research Institute (PhilRice) has launched the Statistical Laboratory and Data Center (StatLab) and the PhilRice Data Analytics Initiative (RiceLytics) to respectively expand its data management and analysis capacity, and to provide rice Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) serving as baseline for policy formulation.

Established in 2019, the StatLab helped researchers to come up with more impartial evidence- based decisions through the provision of consultations, seminar-workshops, and other data science support services.

Ms. Nefriend Francisco, the then institute statistician, led the conduct of 24 traditional and online trainings in Nueva Ecija, Batac, Bicol, and Negros branch stations. Among the refresher courses were statistics, data collection, survey methodology, sampling and experimental design, and data processing and management, which were also packaged into training videos. The StatLab will also construct a library of codes and syntax for commonly used statistical analyses applied to DA-PhilRice R4D studies, which will be collected and updated annually.

Newly designated statistician Aphrodite Ortiz said establishing a data analytics center is one of the next steps in upgrading the StatLab. “It will focus on the development and implementation of a data lake architecture and data warehouse systems to centralize data, produce operational business intelligence, conduct advanced analytics, and provide a data archive platform,” Ortiz explained.

RiceLytics, a two-year project, is bound to provide essential KPIs on the status of rice farmers and rice value chain through an online data analytics dashboard. “The challenge we would like to address is the unavailability of a comprehensive reporting system that can be easily accessed and understood by the public, especially the decision-makers,” said Nehemiah Caballong, data analytics manager.

The RiceLytics portal features historical, current, and predictive information about rice farmers such as basic profile, concerns, farming techniques, preferred technologies, aspirations, and capabilities. For the rice industry, data on rice area, production, yield per hectare, self-sufficiency, consumption, government goals, and future performance requirements can be viewed. Housed at the Socioeconomics Division, the project is funded by the Department of Science and Technology-Philippine Council for Industry, Energy, and Emerging Technology R&D.

For additional knowledge to attain potential crop production, farmers are encouraged to join government projects. These will enable them to learn and experience science-based crops and cropping system technologies and gain from such projects’ activities as sample advisories like planting dates, early warning for pest and disease infestation, water management strategies for specific areas, and daily weather condition notifications are also available (e.g., ACIAR, SARAI projects, etc.).

* Department of Agriculture, AggieTrends, May 2021
For full article visit the page at https://www.da.gov.ph/aggie-trends

Regional Agrometeorological Situation and Prognosis

Region 1 Ilocos Region Region 2 Cagayan Valley CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region) Region 3 Central Luzon NCR (National Capital Region) Region 4A CALABARZON Region 4B MIMAROPA Region 5 Bicol Region Region 6 Western Visayas Region 7 Central Visayas Region 8 Eastern Visayas Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula Region 10 Northern Mindanao Region 11 Davao Regio Region 12 SOCCSK-SARGEN Region 13 CARAGA ARMM (Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao)

Region 1 Ilocos Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 180

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Over the western farm areas, rice are in flowering stage. Planting and transplanting of tomato, sweet pepper, munggo, tapilan, endive, cucumber, and eggplant, are ongoing. In the eastern side, harvesting of rice, upo, pechay, tomato, cabbage, cassava, string bean, squash, eggplant, lettuce, ampalaya, patola, and onion is taking place

Region 2 Cagayan Valley

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

23 - 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Draining of flooded farm areas and removal of impediments on canals or ditches are being done. Repairing of levees destroyed by the strong winds, heavy rains and floods caused by Tropical Cyclones Jolina and Kiko is underway. Early planted corn are on maturity stage while late planted are on silking and tasseling stages. Early planted rice are also in maturity while some late planted rice are in head development stage. Harvesting of matured rice, corn, eggplant, onion tomato, sweet potato, ginger, banana, string bean, upo, avocado, patola, and cassava is being performed

CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 125

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

13 – 29

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Removal of the barriers and repair on canals or ditches brought and caused by TY Jolina and southwest monsoon rains are ongoing. Land preparation, planting and transplanting of munggo, corn and leafy vegetables are being done. Upland rice and late planted corn are in vegetative stage. Harvesting of wombok radish, carrot, cucumber, cabbage, cauliflower, potato, raddish, and sweet pepper is ongoing

Region 3 Central Luzon

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 200

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – most of the region; Moist – Casiguran

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 -100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22– 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Removal of impediments and cleaning of canals and repairing of levees destroyed by the heavy rains and floods caused by TY Jolina and southwest monsoon rains are being done. Some land preparation, planting and transplanting of munggo, cucumber, sweet pepper, ampalaya, string bean, and eggplant are ongoing. Irrigated and rainfed rice are in different stages. Harvesting of patola, upo, squash, ampalaya, cabbage, tomato, avocado, onion, lettuce, eggplant, cassava, and pechay is in progress

NCR (National Capital Region)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

70 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22– 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Removal of debris on canals that retard the flow of water is being done. Urban gardening is in progress. Planting of pechay okra, tomato, mustard, spinach, alugbati, lettuce, and cabbage is ongoing. Harvesting of cabbage, lettuce, upo, malunggay, eggplant, mustard, tomato, string bean, camote tops, and pechay continues.

Region 4A CALABARZON

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 7

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

20 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Removal of impediments and cleaning of canals and repairing of levees destroyed by the heavy rains and floods caused by TY Jolina and southwest monsoon rains are being done. Drying of wet grains by using mechanical dyers is also being done. Irrigated and rainfed rice are in flowering and ripening stages. Dragon fruit, santol and rambutan are in maturing and harvesting stages. Harvesting of early planted rice, matured crops such as papaya, banana corn, ampalaya, dragon fruit, tomato, guyabano, avocado, cucumber, okra, chayote, eggplant, mustard, upo, santol, squash patola, pechay, and string bean, is in progress. Delivery of goods in the market is underway.

Region 4B MIMAROPA

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

55 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

20 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Draining of flooded farm areas and cleaning of debris and barriers on canals or ditches are ongoing. Repairing of levees destroyed by the heavy rains and floods caused by TY Jolina and southwest monsoon rains is being performed. Irrigated and rainfed rice and corn are in vegetative flowering and maturing stages. Harvesting of early planted rice, matured crops such as string bean, pechay, cassava, eggplant, banana, santol, avocado, ginger, sweet potato, and papaya is being done

Region 5 Bicol Region

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

21– 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Draining of flooded farm areas and removal of impediments on ditches are being done. Cleaning of farm fields, repairing of canal embankments destroyed by the strong winds, heavy rains and floods caused by TY Jolina continues. Irrigated and rainfed rice and corn are in different stages. Harvesting of matured rice and other high value crops such as banana, papaya, avocado, tomato, string bean, eggplant, pechay, cassava, patola, and lettuce is underway

Region 6 Western Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 8

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

24 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Removal of impediments and debris on fields and ditches caused by TY Jolina is being done. Irrigated and rainfed rice are in different stages. Harvesting of sugarcane, rice squash string bean, bitter gourd, sweet corn, ginger, upo, eggplant avocado, santol, rambutan, cotton fruit, pineapple, okra, chayote, and guyabano is ongoing

Region 7 Central Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

6 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Negros Oriental; Moist - rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

65 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

22 – 32

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Removal and cleaning of the debris on canals and farm lots brought and caused by TY Jolina are being done. Some land preparation, planting and transplanting of corn, peanut, upo, cabbage, okra, chayote, eggplant , munggo, and rice are ongoing in areas not affected by the storm. Irrigated and rainfed rice and corn are in different stages. Harvesting of avocado, string bean, eggplant, squash, cucumber, ampalaya, ladies’ fingers, sweet corn, banana, cotton fruit, ginger, guyabano, pechay, and santol is taking place

Region 8 Eastern Visayas

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 100

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

6 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

60 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

21 -33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Draining of flooded farm areas and removal of debris on canals or ditches are being done. Cleaning of fields and repairing of levees and dikes destroyed by the strong winds, heavy rains and floods caused by TY Jolina are also being performed. Lowland rice are in different stages while some upland rice and corn are in harvesting stage. Harvesting of patola, banana, papaya, sweet corn, string bean, pineapple, guyabano, avocado mango, and cabbage is ongoing

Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 125

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

6 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Moist – Zamboang a del Norte; Dry – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

50 – 99

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

21 – 33

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Some land preparation, planting and transplanting of rice and corn are continuously being done. Planting of gabi, string bean, sweet potato, squash, ampalaya, spinach, peanut, soybean, eggplant, ginger, patola, okra, and seguidillas is ongoing. Rainfed rice and corn are in vegetative and flowering stages. Harvesting of corn, patola, squash, string bean, guyabano pomelo, upo, tomato pineapple, eggplant, siniguelas, jackfruit, papaya, avocado, and marang continues. Watering and irrigation activities in dry fields using pump are being done.

Region 10 Northern Mindanao

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 – 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

4 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Bukidnon; Moist – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

50 – 97

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Bukidnon and upland areas: 16 – 31 ; Rest: 21 -343 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Some land preparations in upland and irrigated farm areas are ongoing. Planting of upland rice, corn, peanut, tomato, carrot, ampalaya, eggplant, patola, okra, tapilan, ginger, sweet pepper, arrowroot, sweet potato, and gabi is in progress. Irrigated and rainfed rice and corn are in vegetative and flowering stages, some are in maturing stage. Harvesting of corn, jackfruit, pineapple, sweet potato, avocado, mangosteen, banana, santol, cucumber, upo, cassava, lettuce, pechay white potato, and cabbage is taking place

Region 11 Davao Regio

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet - rest of the region Moist – Davao

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

50 – 96

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland areas: 18– 33 Rest: 22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Land preparation, planting and transplanting of carrot, ubi tomato, ginger, eggplant, patola, sweet potato, squash, gabi, okra, and sweet pepper are ongoing. Some early planted irrigated rice and corn are in ripening and maturity stages. Harvesting of pineapple, pomelo, melon, durian, marang, papaya, banana, stringbean, pechay, watermelon, chayote, carrot, eggplant, lettuce, ampalaya, potato, cucumber, radish, patola, okra, and carrot is ongoing. Delivery of fresh produce is also ongoing

Region 12 SOCCSK-SARGEN

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 50

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

2 – 5

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Dry

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

50 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland areas: 18 – 31 Rest: 23 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Rice and corn are in vegetative and flowering stages, some are in maturity stage. Planting and transplanting of ampalaya cabbage, ginger, mustard, cucumber, okra, patola, pechay, radish, carrot, and eggplant are being done. Harvesting of durian banana, mangosteen, marang guyabano, pomelo, avocado, mango, pineapple, papaya, squash, cucumber, upo, eggplant, mustard, string bean, radish, ampalaya, and corn is underway. Watering and irrigation activities using pump are being done. Delivery of goods in the market continues.

Region 13 CARAGA

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

0 – 75

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 10

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

55 – 100

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland: 19 – 32; Rest: 22 – 34

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Land preparation, planting, and transplanting of rice, corn, tomato, munggo, ubi, ginger, cabbage, cucumber, cauliflower, squash, gabi, onions, pechay, mustard, and sweet pepper are ongoing. Irrigated and rainfed rice and corn are in flowering and maturity stages, while some are in establishment stage. Harvesting of leafy vegetables, durian, banana, mangosteen marang, papaya, pomelo, upo, pineapple, squash, jackfruit, patola, eggplant, and ampalaya, is being performed. Delivery of goods in the market is taking place

ARMM (Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao)

Forecast Rainfall (mm):

25 - 150

Rainy Days (0.1mm or more):

5 – 9

Actual Soil Moisture Condition:

Wet – Maguindanao; Moist – rest of the region

Range of Relative Humidity (%):

55 – 98

Min - Max Temperature (°C):

Upland: 16 – 31; Rest: 22 – 35

Crop Phenology, Situation and Farm Activities:

Planting and transplanting of lowland rice, ginger, beets peanut, cabbage, garlic, cauliflower, ampalaya, sweet pepper, okra, squash, string bean, gabi, chayote, cucumber, white onions, spinach, and corn, are underway. Irrigated and rainfed rice and corn are in different stages. Harvesting of banana, pomelo, corn, pineapple, mangosteen, durian, pechay, sweet potato, cabbage, carrot, mustard, and lettuce is ongoing

Prepared By:

Prepared by:	Uploaded by:	Checked / Verified by:	Approved by:
MTR / SCF	DPO / JOT	JAM	EDNA L. JUANILLO Chief, CAD