Philippine Agri-Weather Forecast
During the forecast period, the country will be affected by the easterlies, the ridge of High-Pressure Area (HPA), tropical cyclone, and localized thunderstorms.
During the early part of the dekad, Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Region, and most parts of Central Luzon will experience partly cloudy skies due to the ridge of high pressure area (HPA). Meanwhile, the rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with possible isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms due to easterlies. After this, the entire archipelago will continue to have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with chances of localized rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly over the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao. From the middle of the forecast period up to the last day of the dekad, Metro Manila and the rest of the country will continue to experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies, with possible localized rainshowers or thunderstorms, especially over the eastern sections of Luzon and Visayas.
The tropical cyclone (TC) Sinlaku, which is currently outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), may enter or pass near the PAR during this period. Once inside the PAR, it will be named “Caloy”. However, it is not expected to bring significant impacts to the country’s weather conditions.
Northern Luzon will generally experience winds from the southeast to south, while Visayas and the rest of Luzon will have winds from the northeast to north. The remaining parts of the country will experience winds from the north to northwest. However, during the latter part of the dekad, winds coming from northeast to east will gradually prevail over the entire archipelago.
Slight to moderate sea conditions will prevail over the seaboards of the country during the early days of the forecast period. After this, the eastern seaboards of the country will gradually become moderate to rough, while the remaining parts of the archipelago will continue to experience slight to moderate seas.
ENSO ALERT SYSTEM STATUS: EL NIÑO WATCH (Updated: 08 April 2026)
ENSO-neutral conditions are present in the tropical Pacific and could persist in June-July-August 2026 season. However, most models reflect, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and can continue through at least the first quarter of 2027.
El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring negative impacts (such as dry spells and droughts) in some areas of the country. However, above-normal rainfall conditions during the Southwest Monsoon Season (Habagat) may also be experienced over the western part of the country.
PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the development of this ENSO phenomenon. All concerned government agencies and the general public are encouraged to keep on monitoring and take precautionary measures against the impending impacts of El Niño.
During the early part of the dekad, Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR), Ilocos Region, and most parts of Central Luzon will experience partly cloudy skies due to the ridge of high pressure area (HPA). Meanwhile, the rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with possible isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms due to easterlies. After this, the entire archipelago will continue to have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with chances of localized rainshowers or thunderstorms mostly over the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao. From the middle of the forecast period up to the last day of the dekad, Metro Manila and the rest of the country will continue to experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies, with possible localized rainshowers or thunderstorms, especially over the eastern sections of Luzon and Visayas.
The tropical cyclone (TC) Sinlaku, which is currently outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), may enter or pass near the PAR during this period. Once inside the PAR, it will be named “Caloy”. However, it is not expected to bring significant impacts to the country’s weather conditions.
Northern Luzon will generally experience winds from the southeast to south, while Visayas and the rest of Luzon will have winds from the northeast to north. The remaining parts of the country will experience winds from the north to northwest. However, during the latter part of the dekad, winds coming from northeast to east will gradually prevail over the entire archipelago.
Slight to moderate sea conditions will prevail over the seaboards of the country during the early days of the forecast period. After this, the eastern seaboards of the country will gradually become moderate to rough, while the remaining parts of the archipelago will continue to experience slight to moderate seas.
ENSO ALERT SYSTEM STATUS: EL NIÑO WATCH (Updated: 08 April 2026)
ENSO-neutral conditions are present in the tropical Pacific and could persist in June-July-August 2026 season. However, most models reflect, El Niño is likely to emerge (62% chance) and can continue through at least the first quarter of 2027.
El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring negative impacts (such as dry spells and droughts) in some areas of the country. However, above-normal rainfall conditions during the Southwest Monsoon Season (Habagat) may also be experienced over the western part of the country.
PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the development of this ENSO phenomenon. All concerned government agencies and the general public are encouraged to keep on monitoring and take precautionary measures against the impending impacts of El Niño.
| ACTUAL SOIL MOISTURE CONDITION (as of April 1-10, 2026) |
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| WET | MOIST | DRY |
| Surigao del Sur | Sorsogon, Bohol, Borongan, Surigao del Norte, and Agusan del Norte | The rest of the country |
Farm Advisories
Farmers are advised to conserve water, use drought-tolerant or early-maturing crops, and adjust planting schedules to avoid peak dry periods. Farmers are also encouraged to adopt fuel- and cost-efficient farm practices to help manage the rising operational expenses. Enhancing soil moisture retention through mulching and organic matter, along with preparing alternative water sources, can help reduce stress on crops and livestock. Staying updated with advisories from DOST-PAGASA and coordinating with local agricultural offices will help farmers make timely decisions and minimize the impacts of extreme weather conditions.
Regional Agrometeorological Situation and Prognosis
Region 1 Ilocos Region
Region 2 Cagayan Valley
CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region)
Region 3 Central Luzon
NCR (National Capital Region)
Region 4A CALABARZON
Region 4B MIMAROPA
Region 5 Bicol Region
Region 6 Western Visayas
Region 7 Central Visayas
Region 8 Eastern Visayas
Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula
Region 10 Northern Mindanao
Region 11 Davao Region
Region 12 SOCCSKSARGEN
Region 13 CARAGA
BARMM (Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao)
| Region 1 Ilocos Region | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 20 |
Relative Humidity (%): 30 – 95 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 3 |
Temperature (°C): 23 – 37 |
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| Region 2 Cagayan Valley | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 20 |
Relative Humidity (%): 30 – 96 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 3 |
Temperature (°C): 22 – 38 |
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| CAR (Cordillera Administrative Region) | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 25 |
Relative Humidity (%): 30 – 97 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 4 |
Temperature (°C): 23 – 38 |
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| Region 3 Central Luzon | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 25 |
Relative Humidity (%): 30 – 97 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 4 |
Temperature (°C): 23 – 38 |
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| NCR (National Capital Region) | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 20 |
Relative Humidity (%): 30 – 95 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 3 |
Temperature (°C): 24 – 37 |
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| Region 4A CALABARZON | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 20 |
Relative Humidity (%): 35 – 96 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 3 |
Temperature (°C): Upland: 21 – 36; Lowland: 24 – 38 |
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| Region 4B MIMAROPA | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 20 |
Relative Humidity (%): 30 – 96 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 3 |
Temperature (°C): 24 – 37 |
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| Region 5 Bicol Region | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 25 |
Relative Humidity (%): 45 – 98 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 4 |
Temperature (°C): 23 – 37 |
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| Region 6 Western Visayas | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 20 |
Relative Humidity (%): 50 – 95 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 3 |
Temperature (°C): 23 – 36 |
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RICE |
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| Region 7 Central Visayas | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 25 |
Relative Humidity (%): 40 – 96 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 4 |
Temperature (°C): 23 – 37 |
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RICE |
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| Region 8 Eastern Visayas | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 10 – 50 |
Relative Humidity (%): 50 – 98 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 2 – 5 |
Temperature (°C): 23 – 37 |
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| Region 9 Zamboanga Peninsula | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 25 |
Relative Humidity (%): 45 – 96 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 4 |
Temperature (°C): 23 – 36 |
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RICE |
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| HIGH VALUE CROPS |
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| FARM OPERATIONS |
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| Region 10 Northern Mindanao | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 10 – 50 |
Relative Humidity (%): 40 – 96 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 4 |
Temperature (°C): Upland: 17 – 35 Lowland: 23 – 37 |
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| FARM OPERATIONS |
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| Region 11 Davao Region | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 10 – 80 |
Relative Humidity (%): 45 – 98 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 4 |
Temperature (°C): Upland: 18 – 35 Lowland: 23 – 37 |
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| Region 12 SOCCSKSARGEN | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 10 – 80 |
Relative Humidity (%): 35 – 95 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 0 – 4 |
Temperature (°C): Upland: 17 – 35 Lowland: 23 – 37 |
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| Region 13 CARAGA | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 10 – 80 |
Relative Humidity (%): 50 – 98 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 3 – 6 |
Temperature (°C): 22 – 36 |
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RICE |
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| HIGH VALUE CROPS |
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| BARMM (Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao) | WEATHER CONDITIONS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
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Forecast Rainfall (mm): 0 – 50 |
Relative Humidity (%): 45 – 97 |
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No. of Rainy Days (>1 mm): 2 – 5 |
Temperature (°C): Upland: 17 – 35 Lowland: 23 – 37 |
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RICE |
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| HIGH VALUE CROPS |
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| FARM OPERATIONS |
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Prepared By:
Prepared: RAMF
Checked: MEVT
Approved: TAC
Uploaded: RVDD
Checked: MEVT
Approved: TAC
Uploaded: RVDD