- During the month of June, the weather systems that affected the country were southwest monsoon, frontal systems, trough of low-pressure area, low-pressure area (LPA), intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), easterlies, ridge of a high pressure area (HPA), and localized thunderstorms.
- An estimated cost of damaged to agriculture of Php 9.8B of crops were damaged due to El Niño (as of 25 June 2024). Source https://ndrrmc.gov.ph/attachments/article/4252/SitRep_No__59_for_El_Nino_2023.pdf
- Generally, below to near normal rainfall conditions were experienced over the whole archipelago with patches of above normal rainfall conditions over some parts of Mindanao (Figure 1). MSU, Marawi City Station recorded the highest rainfall amount for the month of June (499.6mm), followed by Bacnotan, La Union Agromet Station (453.4mm) and La Granja Agromet Station (406.2 mm).
- Derived Soil Moisture Condition (rainfed areas; Figure 3):
- Wet – Batac, Ilocos Sur, Baguio City, La Union, Nueva Vizcaya, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Bataan, Bulacan, Quezon City, Pasay, most of CALABARZON, Cuyo, Mulanay, Romblon, Iloilo, Negros Occidental, Siquijor, Samar, Bukidnon, Davao del Norte, and Lanao del Sur
- Moist – Laoag, Isabela, Pampanga, Tarlac, Laguna, Oriental Mindoro, Palawan, Camarines Norte, Albay, Catanduanes, Masbate, Capiz, Cebu, Leyte, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, and Davao del Sur
- Dry – Rest of the country
- Generally, near-average to warmer than average mean surface air temperatures were observed across the country (Figure 2). Tuguegarao City recorded the highest maximum temperature of 38.4°C (June 11) while the coldest temperature was recorded in BSU La Trinidad Synoptic Station at 15.1°C (June 12).
- Guiuan, Eastern Samar obtained the highest heat index during the month of June with 54°C (June 3) followed by Aparri, Cagayan and Maasin, Southern Leyte with 53°C (June 30 and June 8 respectively), and Infanta, Quezon with 52°C heat index (June 14). The Heat Index is a human discomfort index that gives the apparent temperature on what humans perceive or feel as the temperature (from the surroundings) affecting the body. High air temperature and high relative humidity results to high apparent temperature.
- Press Release: EL NIÑO FINAL ADVISORY 07 June 2024
With these developments, the final advisory for El Niño (2023-2024) is issued and the PAGASA ENSO Alert and Warning System is now lowered to INACTIVE (ENSO-neutral) while the LA NIÑA WATCH remains in effect. Despite the ENSO-neutral condition and prevailing Southwest monsoon, the impacts of El Niño, such as warmer-than-usual surface temperature and below-normal rainfall, may still continue in some areas of the country.
- Land and Seedbed Preparation (including preparation for garden plot, urban gardening, and upland farms), (irrigated and rainfed farms)
- Ilocos Region, Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, National Capital Region, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, Caraga and BARMM
- Planting and Transplanting (broadcasting / direct seeding – for rice, corn, conventional way/ by rows - other cash crops)
- Rice – Ilocos Region, Central Luzon, and Western Visayas
- Corn – Cagayan Valley and Western Visayas
- Vegetative Stage (tillering, head development; growing – other cash crops)
- Rice – Ilocos Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Eastern Visayas, and SOCCSKSARGEN
- Corn – Ilocos Region, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas, SOCCSKSARGEN
- chayote, string bean, eggplant, sweet potato, patola, pechay, ampalaya, okra, alukon, malunggay, mustard, kangkong, jute, spinach, alugbati, peanut, mung bean, squash, tomato, upo, cassava, long pepper, chili pepper, sweet pepper, mushroom, papaya, banana, guyabano, dragon fruit, lanzones, dalandan, jackfruit, rambutan, coconut, tobacco, abaca, camote tops, cucumber, cabbage, carrot, onion, ginger, sugarcane, pineapple, mango, coffee, avocado, broccoli, onion leeks, Baguio beans, bok choy, radish, cauliflower, beet, celery, kinchay, lettuce, lemon, strawberry, longgan, dalandan, mangosteen, siniguelas, honeydew, calamansi, turnip, cotton, watermelon, tamarind, arrow root, cadios, lemongrass, guava, ube, cashew, star apple, atis, pandan, taro, red beans, santol, soybean, long chili, marang, rubber, habichuelas, pomelo, durian, melon, cacao, fern leaves, and pomelo
- Reproductive Stage (Heading – rice; Tasseling/Silking – corn)
- Rice – Ilocos Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas SOCCSKSARGEN, and BARMM
- Corn – Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, and BARMM
- Maturing/Ripening
- Rice – Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, and BARMM
- Corn – Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, and BARMM
- Harvesting Stage
- Rice – Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Davao Region, Caraga, and BARMM
- Corn – Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, Caraga and BARMM
- chayote, cabbage, garlic, peanut, onion, squash, string bean, habichuelas, ginger, ampalaya, malunggay, tamarind, eggplant, broccoli, cauliflower, camote tops, kinchay, sweet potato, cassava, long pepper, chili pepper, mung bean, celery, lemongrass, tabacco, banana, guyabano, coconut, mango, watermelon, calamansi, cucumber, taro, tomato, cadios, radish, pepper, Baguio beans, okra, spinach, pechay, alugbati, cashew, mustard, pandan, siniguelas, santol, avocado, rambutan, sugarcane, soybean, kangkong, upo, lettuce, mushroom, strawberry, marang, jackfruit, papaya, turnip, mangosteen, patola, carrot, sweet pepper, cacao, pomelo, pineapple, ube, coffee, red beans, dragon fruit, pomelo, honeydew, onion leeks, durian, and fern leaves,
Farm Operations:
- Land cultivation and preparation
- Irrigation and watering management
- Pruning
- Thinning
- Removal of weeds
- Grass cutting
- Spraying of herbicides, pesticides, and insecticides
- Applying of fertilizers
- Field monitoring
- Furrowing
- Delivery of fresh produce
- Copra making and drying
- Drying, storing and milling of rice and corn
- Cultivation of sugarcane
- Ploughing
- Sucker removing
- Harrowing
- Urban vegetable gardening
- Cleaning of garden and farms
- Pest and diseases monitoring and management
- Maintaining of equipment in good condition
The weather systems that will likely affect the country during the month of June are southwest monsoon, ITCZ, easterlies, ridge of high pressure area, localized thunderstorms, LPAs, and two (2) or (3) three tropical cyclones (TC) may enter or develop inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
- Generally, below normal rainfall over most parts of Luzon and eastern Visayas while near normal rainfall conditions most of Mindanao (Figure 4).
- Generally, near to slightly warmer than average from July to October; however slightly cooler than average in some areas of Bicol and MIMAROPA. Luzon will have extreme temperature range of 14.1ºC – 27.5ºC for upland farms while 16.5ºC –38.7ºC for other farms in Luzon; the lowland farms in Visayas will have 20.1ºC – 36.4ºC; while the upland farms in Mindanao will have 16.0ºC – 33.0ºC and 20.1ºC – 36.6ºC for lowland farms.
- Monthly Climate Assessment and Outlook / La Niña Watch (Issued on 08 July 2024). ENSO-neutral conditions are present in the tropical Pacific and may prevail until the August-September-October (ASO) 2024 season. Climate model forecasts indicate that La Niña may emerge in the October-November-December (OND) 2024 season at 55% probability and may persist until the first quarter of 2025. La Niña increases the likelihood of having above-normal rainfall conditions that could lead to potential adverse impacts (such as heavy rainfall, floods, flash floods, and rain-induced landslides) over highly vulnerable areas.
- PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the developing La Niña. All government agencies concerned and the general public are encouraged to stay updated and use the information for guidance in taking precautionary measures to mitigate the adverse impacts of these phenomena.
- Prepare for wetter conditions. Enhance drainage to prevent waterlogging and monitor for pest and disease outbreaks. Use resistant crop varieties and consider staggered planting to avoid peak wet periods. Increased humidity can influence pest and disease prevalence. Conduct of regular monitoring of farm fields and timely interventions are crucial.
PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the climate conditions that may affect the country and updates shall be issued as appropriate. For further information, please contact the Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD) at telephone number 8284-0800, local 4915.
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