PAGASA ENSO Alert System Status

PAGASA: Cool El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral conditions persist over most of the tropical Pacific Ocean. The majority of climate models combined with expert judgments favored a 71% chance of short-lived La Niña or La Niña-like conditions developing within the November-December-January period and may continue until the first quarter of 2025. La Niña or La Niña-like condition increases the likelihood of having above-normal rainfall conditions, which could lead to potential adverse impacts such as heavy rainfall, floods, flash floods, and rain-induced landslides over highly vulnerable areas. Updated: 07 November 2024