El Niño / La Niña
PAGASA ENSO Alert System Status

PAGASA: ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue until June-July-August (JJA) 2023 season; however, an increased likelihood of a transition to El Niño in July-August-September (JAS) 2023 season and may persist until 2024. (updated 23 MARCH) ******************************************************************************************** El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring negative impacts (such as dry spells and droughts) in some areas of the country. However, over the western part of the country, above-normal rainfall conditions during the Southwest monsoon season (Habagat) may also be expected.