SUPER TYPHOON “PEPITO” IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF CATANDUANES

• HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
• Heavy Rainfall Outlook
• Refer to Weather Advisory No. 46 issued at 8:00 PM today for the three-day heavy rainfall outlook associated with “PEPITO”.
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• Severe Winds
• The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Extreme impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 5.
• Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 4.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
• Coastal Inundation
• There is a high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak surge heights exceeding 3.0 m in the next 48 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Ilocos Region (western coast), Isabela, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Marinduque, Bicol Region, Northern Samar, Samar, and Eastern Samar. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 8 issued at 8:00 PM today for the details.
• HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
• A Gale Warning is hoisted over the eastern and southern seaboards of Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Visayas. Refer to Gale Warning No. 11 issued at 5:00 PM today for the details.
• 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
• Note: These are forecast sea condition over the coastal waters and not related to storm surge heights or inundation.
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• Up to very rough, high, or very high seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 14.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes.
• Up to 12.0 m: The northern seaboard of Camarines Norte; the seaboards of Camarines Norte and Aurora
• Up to 10.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Pollilo Islands
• Up to 9.0 m: The seaboard of northern Quezon; the northern and eastern seaboard of Northern Samar.
• Up to 7.0 m: The seaboard of Isabela; the remaining seaboard of Catanduanes; the eastern seaboards of Camarines Sur, Albay, and Sorsogon.
• Up to 5.0 m: The eastern seaboards of mainland Cagayan and Eastern Samar
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
• Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Quezon including the rest of Polillo Islands
• Up to 3.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands.
• Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of Pangasinan, La Union, Marinduque, and Romblon; the remaining seaboards of Quezon, Northern Samar, and Bicol Region; the eastern seaboard of Oriental Mindoro
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
• Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Zambales; the western seaboard of Bataan; the eastern seaboard of Dinagat Islands; the remaining seaboard of Ilocos Region.
• Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Metro Manila, Aklan, Antique, Samar, Biliran, northeastern Iloilo, northern Negros Occidental, and northern Cebu including Bantayan Islands; the northern and eastern seaboards of Leyte; the eastern seaboards of Southern Leyte, Surigao del Sur, Davao Oriental; the northern and western seaboards of Dinagat Islands; the remaining seaboards of Bataan and CALABARZON; the northern seaboards of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands and Oriental Mindoro.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
• TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• PEPITO is forecast to move generally west northwestward and make landfall over the northern or central portion of Catanduanes between 8:00 PM and 10:00 PM tonight.
• After passing over or close to Catanduanes, PEPITO will continue moving west northwestward over the waters north of Camarines Provinces (with a landfall or close approach over Calaguas Islands not ruled out) until tomorrow (17 November) early morning, pass close or over pass Polillo Islands between tomorrow morning and noon, before making landfall over northern Quezon or central or southern Aurora between tomorrow noon and afternoon. Afterwards, PEPITO will cross the northern portion of Central Luzon and the southern portion of Northern Luzon along the upland areas of Sierra Madre, Caraballo, and Cordillera Central between tomorrow afternoon and evening. PEPITO will emerge over the coastal waters of Pangasinan or La Union tomorrow late evening or on Monday (18 November) early morning.
• Over the West Philippine Sea, PEPITO will continue moving west northwestward for the rest of Monday. It may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Monday morning or afternoon. Outside the PAR region, the tropical cyclone will turn more westward or west southwestward on Tuesday (18 November).
• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall, severe winds, and storm surge may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• PEPITO will make landfall over Catanduanes as a super typhoon at or near peak intensity, and as a super typhoon or typhoon over Aurora. Significant weakening will occur during the passage of PEPITO over mainland Luzon tomorrow, but it will likely remain as a typhoon throughout its passage over mainland Luzon.