PAGASA

El NINO IS PRESENT IN THE TROPICAL PACIFIC

04 July 2023

DOST-PAGASA S&T Media Service
Quezon City, 04 July 2023

Recent PAGASA’s climate monitoring and analyses indicate that the unusual warming of sea surface temperatures along the equatorial Pacific that was established in March 2023 has further developed into a weak El Niño, which shows signs of strengthening in the coming months. With this development, the El Niño Alert issued last May 2023 is now upgraded to El Niño Advisory. El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring negative impacts (such as dry spells and droughts) in some areas of the country which may adversely impact the different climate-sensitive sectors such as water resources, agriculture, energy, health and public safety. However, enhanced Southwest monsoon season (Habagat) may still be expected which may result in above-normal rainfall conditions over the western part of the country. The climate outlook further suggests that the aggregate impacts of El Niño is expected towards the last quarter of the year and first half of 2024 bringing dry spells in most areas of the country. With this development, all concerned agencies and the general public are advised to take precautionary measures to mitigate the potential adverse impacts of El Niño. PAGASA will continue to closely monitor these conditions and regular updates/advisories shall be issued as appropriate For more information, you may reach us by phone at (02) 8284-0800 local 4920/4921 (Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section) or through email at information@pagasa.dost.gov.ph; pagasa.climps@gmail.com.

Original Signed:

ESPERANZA O. CAYANAN, Ph.D.
Officer-in-Charge, PAGASA