El Niño / La Niña
PAGASA ENSO Alert System Status

PAGASA: A transition from ENSO-neutral to El Niño is favored in the next couple of months, with higher chance of El Niño persisting up to the first quarter of 2024. (updated 24 May 2023) ******************************************************************************************** El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring negative impacts (such as dry spells and droughts) in some areas of the country. However, over the western part of the country, above-normal rainfall conditions during the Southwest monsoon season (Habagat) may also be expected.