EL NIŇO WATCH
24 March 2023
PRESS STATEMENT
DOST-PAGASA S & T Media Service
Quezon City, 23 March 2023
PAGASA has been continuously monitoring the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions in the tropical Pacific. The final La Niña advisory was issued last March 10, 2023 with ENSO - neutral conditions now present. However, based on recent conditions and model forecasts, El Niño will likely develop in Jul-Aug-Sept (JAS) 2023 season and may persist until 2024. With this development, the PAGASA ENSO Alert and Warning System is now raised to El Niño Watch.
El Niño (warm phase of ENSO) is characterized by unusually warmer than average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (CEEP). When conditions are favorable for the development of El Niño within the next six months and the probability is 55% or more, an El Niño Watch is issued.
El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring negative impacts (such as dry spells and droughts) in some areas of the country. However, over the western part of the country, above-normal rainfall conditions during the Southwest monsoon season (Habagat) may also be expected.
PAGASA will continue to closely monitor the development of this ENSO phenomenon. All concerned government agencies and the general public are encouraged to keep on monitoring and take precautionary measures against the impending impacts of El Niño.
For more information, please call the Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section (CLIMPS), Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD) at telephone number (02) 8284-0800 local 4920 or through email: pagasa.climps@gmail.com.
Original Signed:
VICENTE B. MALANO, Ph.D.
Administrator
More Press Release
19 September 2019
There are posts related to a “Haze Bulletin” allegedly issued by PAGASA that are currently
circulating online and being shared in variou...
09 August 2019
The weak El Niño which started since the last quarter of 2018 had ended. The warmer than average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Pacific Ocean h...
Read more06 July 2019
Weak El Niño condition which started since the last quarter of 2018 had persisted in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (CEEP). The warmer than average ...
Read more21 June 2019
El Niño conditions continue in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific (CEEP). Since the last quarter of 2018, warmer than the normal sea surface temperature...
Read more14 May 2019
El Niño conditions still persist in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Warmer than average sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the central and eastern equatorial...
Read more04 April 2019
El Niño conditions which started to develop since the last quarter of 2018 continue to persist in the tropical Pacific. Majority of climate models suggest aroun...
Read more